SeoulMarkets · data for licence
Which brokers hit their target prices
19,499 rated reports joined to price · 12-month horizon
Every broker report carries a target price. Almost nobody keeps score. We do — matching each target to what the stock actually did twelve months later, across a multi-year archive. The result is the one number a broker never publishes about itself: how often its targets were right.
- What it is — every rated report's target price, scored against the share price twelve months later, aggregated by brokerage.
- Why trust it — targets and prices are both facts on the record; we join them and keep the archive. Nothing is self-reported by the broker.
- How big — 19,499 reports joined to a price (reference 20260805).
- The honest caveats — delisted and renamed tickers drop out (survivorship, upward); a single 12-month close undercounts targets hit mid-year. Both ship with the data.
- The form — one CSV: broker · stock · report date · target · price then and 12 months on · hit flag. Plus this by-broker summary.
① Hit rate by brokerage
Share of target prices reached within twelve months, the average upside each house promised, and what the shares really returned. Houses with at least 20 scored reports.
| Brokerage | Reports | Hit rate | Avg target upside | Actual 12m |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DB Financial Investment | 344 | 49.4% | 28.6% | 38.1% |
| Hyundai Motor Securities | 21 | 33.3% | 37.4% | 28.1% |
| iM Securities | 117 | 31.6% | 40.6% | 29.8% |
| SK Securities | 1068 | 30.8% | 36.6% | 20.7% |
| Cape Investment & Securities | 236 | 27.1% | 34.5% | 15.8% |
| Meritz Securities | 28 | 25% | 34.2% | 15% |
| Kiwoom Securities | 1378 | 24.7% | 37.1% | 14.9% |
| Samsung Securities | 179 | 24% | 44.1% | 8.1% |
| DS Investment & Securities | 540 | 23.5% | 37% | 15.7% |
| Hana Securities | 3063 | 22.8% | 40.6% | 13% |
| Yuanta Securities Korea | 910 | 22.6% | 41% | 11.3% |
| Mirae Asset Securities | 1726 | 21.6% | 37.7% | 10.1% |
| Shinhan Securities | 1749 | 21.6% | 38.1% | 9.2% |
| Kyobo Securities | 1272 | 21.4% | 35% | 11.8% |
| IBK Investment & Securities | 719 | 20.6% | 39% | 8.2% |
| eBEST Investment & Securities | 1890 | 18.7% | 32.6% | 3.2% |
| Hanwha Investment & Securities | 990 | 16.6% | 44.6% | 3.9% |
| Eugene Investment & Securities | 1005 | 16.3% | 39.6% | 3% |
| Daishin Securities | 1524 | 15.9% | 39.6% | 2.2% |
| Hi Investment & Securities | 736 | 13.2% | 34.4% | -1.2% |
Read the gap between the two right-hand columns: houses promise ~40% upside and the shares return ~10%. Targets are optimistic almost everywhere — the product is knowing by how much, and for whom.
② What you get
| Files | One CSV — brokerage · analyst (where filed) · stock · ticker · report date · target price · price at publication · price 12 months later · hit flag · realized return. Plus the by-broker summary above. | |
|---|---|---|
| Coverage | Multi-year. Past reports carry no ticker at source, so we restore it by name — the join rate and the misses are disclosed. | |
| The caveats travel with it | Survivorship (delisted names drop) and the single-close undercount are stated in a method.md, not buried. | |
| Refresh | As new reports mature past their 12-month mark. | |
| Source | Broker-published facts (date, house, stock, target, rating) and KRX close via data.go.kr. We do not store report text, PDFs or charts. | |
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Prices via data.go.kr (KRX close, reference 20260805) · Targets are broker-published facts · Survivorship and single-close caveats as stated above · Not investment advice. Browse all SeoulMarkets datasets. See our terms of use and refund policy.